Thirty-one theses on dating capitalism

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THESIS XIV

PART TWO — THE GRID

The paying minority is small, and the free majority is the inventory.

Fewer than nine in every hundred active users pay. Everyone still produces value.

Grindr reported full-year 2025 revenue of $439.9 million, up twenty-eight percent, with net income of $95 million and adjusted EBITDA of $195.6 million, against average monthly active users of fifteen million and average paying users of approximately 1.3 million. Fewer than nine in a hundred active users pay anything. Indirect revenue, meaning advertising, rose from 14.5 percent to 16.1 percent of total revenue across the first nine months of the year. The company introduced 2026 guidance above $528 million and announced a $400 million increase to its buyback programme, extended to March 2029.

EVIDENCE SNAPSHOT

15M

MONTHLY USERS

Average monthly users supplying activity and network density

1.3M

PAYING USERS

Average users generating direct subscription revenue

<9%

PAYING SHARE

Only a small minority pays the platform directly

$439.9M

2025 REVENUE

Full-year revenue reported by Grindr

KEY FINDING

Grindr reported full-year 2025 revenue of $439.9 million, up twenty-eight percent, with net income of $95 million and adjusted EBITDA of $195.6 million, against average monthly active users of fifteen million and average paying users of approximately 1.3 million.

IMPLICATION

Free users supply density, engagement and advertising value.

Source apparatus

SOURCE 01

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CORPORATE FILING

Grindr Inc. (2026, February 26). Fourth quarter and full year 2025 results.

SOURCE 02

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CORPORATE FILING

Grindr Inc. (2025). Quarterly report (Form 10-Q), period ended September 30, 2025. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.